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10 Jan 2009 
Washington - Charlotte over 182
Washington has scored an average of 96 points per game at home and only 84 points in its last 5 games but they have played only 3 times at home in their last 10 games and have scored 92, 80 and 104 points in those 3 home games. Charlotte allows an average of 97 points on the road and 101 points in its last 5 games, and in each of these last 5 games (of which 3 were on the road) they allowed at lest 92 points to be scored. Washington should be able to score at least 90 points here.
Charlotte has scored an average of 91 points on the road and 92 points in its last 5 games, while Washington has allowed an average of 101 points at home and 94 points in its last 5 games. Charlotte also should be able to get at least 90 points to send this game over.
They have gone over the posted total in 9 of their last 10 games which includes all 5 games played at Washington

Minnesota -2.5
Minnesota have scored an average of 97 points at home but 108 points in its last 5 games as its offence has really stepped up a gear to lead them to 4 straight wins and they have hit 100+ points in 5 of these games. Milwaukee allows an average of 102 points on the road and 96 points in its last 5 games. They have played only 1 away game in their last 5 where they lost to Charlotte 102-92, so look to Minnesota to hit at least 100 points on them tonight.
Milwaukee has scored an average of 95 points on the road and 102 points in its last 5 games, but they have only played once on the road in their last 5 games. In their last 2 road games they have scored 92 and 81 points to lose both of them. Minnesota allows an average of 97 points at home and 96 points in its last 5 games, but if you look at their last 3 games, they have allowed only 87, 87 and 92 points. Milwaukee will score around the 90 mark.
Given their improved play of late offensively and defensively, Minnesota should beat Milwaukee by the spread, as the home team is 6-2 agaisnt the spread as well as Minnesota winning 8 of the last 9 games at home. Also Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses in their past 9 games so they are due for a loss here.

Chicago - Oklahoma City under 204.5
Chicago has scored an average of 103 points at home but only 95 points in its last 5 games, but with 4 of their last 5 games at home, they failed to hit the 100 mark. Oklahoma has allowed an average of 106 points on the road and 110 points in its last 5 games, but in their last 4 road games, apart from letting Minnesota hit 129, they have allowed 104, 90 and 99 points, so they may be able to restrict Chicago to under 100 points here.
Oklahoma has scored an average of 94 points on the road and 103 points in its last 5 games, but only 1 of its last 5 games were on the road. They have scored 97, 95, 88 and 88 points in their last 4 road games as they struggle to match the points they score at home. Chicago has allowed an average of 99 points at home and 102 points in its last 5 games but in their last 2 games which were also at home, they have allowed only 86 and 94 points as their defence has stepped up. Look to Chicago to restrict Charlotte to about the 90 point mark here.
With 4 of the last 5 games played at Chicago going under the posted total, and given their relative form of late, and both teams on a back to back, then there is a good chance of the game going under.

Houston - New York under 204.5
Houston has scored an average of 98 points at home and 91 points in its last 5 games (all on the road) but even so, they have managed to hit 100 points only twice in their last 10 games. New York allows an average of 106 points on the road and 98 in its last 5 games, but they have only allowed 100 points twice in these last 5 games, they should be able to restrict Houston going into three figures.
NY has scored an average of 101 points on the road and 98 in its last 5 games but in these 5 games they have scored 100 points twice at home while on the road they scored 94, 99 and 93 points. Houston has allowed an average of 92 points at home and 96 points in their last 5 games (which were on the road) but previous to that they played twice at home where they allowed 81 and 89 points. Houston should be able to restrict NY here to under 100 points.
With both teams unlikely to hit 100 points, then the under is a good chance given that NY has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 game (including 2 of 3 on the road) and and Houston has gone under the posted total in 9 of their last 10 games including the last 2 at home. Also these two teams have gone under the posted total in their last 10 games, so the high total for this game doesn't seem right
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10 Jan 2009 
Orlando - Atlanta under 190.5
Orlando have averaged 94 points in their last 4 home games as they tend to play more defensive at home than they do on the road while Atlanta have only played twice on the road in their last 10 games and they allowed 93 points in that game.
In that same game, Atlanta scored 91 points while Orlando has allowed only an average of 76 points in their last 4 home games.
While these two teams scored a total of 208 points two nights ago, that coincides with Orlando who plays more offensively on the road as does Atlanta at home. Now this game is reversed where both teams play more defensive or they tend to miss more of their shots.
Four of the last five games at Orlando have gone under the posted total as have 7 of 10 overall

Philly -6.5
Philly have scored an average of 97 points at home and 101 points in their last 5 games while Charlotte have allowed an average of 97 points on the road and 101 points in their last 5 games. Philly have hit 100 points in their last 3 games and in 6 of their last 10 games, of which 8 of these 10 games were on the road. Charlotte in their last 2 away games have been thumped by 30 and 28 points where they have allowed the opposition to hit 100 points on them.
Charlotte have scored an average of 91 points on the road and 92 points in its last 5 games while Philly have allowed 94 points at home but 99 points in its last 5 games. Charlotte have scored 81 and 75 in their last two home games while Philly beat Houston 104-96 in their last home game which was in between 7 away games.
Philly will be glad to be home where they tend to play well while Charlotte tends to struggle on the road, so expect to see Philly hit 100 points while Charlotte will probably end up in the 80's for an easy win for the 76'ers.

Toronto -6.5
Toronto have scored an aversge of 97 points in its home games and 101 points in its last 5 games while Memphis have allowed an average 102 points on the road and 93 points in its last 5 games. Toronto has hit 108, 94 and 107 in its last 3 home games in the middles of 7 away games. They will be glad to be back at home where they should hit 100 points on Memphis who have allowed the last 4 teams when on the road to hit 100 points.
Memphis have scored an average 93 points on the road and 89 points in its last 5 games while Toronto have allowed 100 points at home and 98 points in its last 5 games. Toronto allowed Denver and Orlando to hit 100 points on them at home while Houston only scored 74 points on them. Memphis have lost their last 4 away games by 11, 10, 3 and 18 points.
Toronto have beaten Memphis at home by 12 and 7 points in the last 2 games, so expect them to do it again here

New Orleans - LA Clippers over 185.5
New Orleans have averaged 96 points at home and 99 points in its last 5 games while LA Clippers have allowed an average of 102 points on the road and 101 points in their last 5 games. NO should be able to score 100 points here as they have done so in their last 3 games while LA have allowed teams to hit 100 points in 4 of their last 5 games which have all been on the road.
LA have scored an average of 97 on the road and 93 points in their last 5 games while NO have allowed 90 points at home and 98 points in their last 5 games. LA have hit 84 points in their last 5 games as well as in their last 5 road games while NO have allowed 3 of the last 4 teams at home to hit at least 84 points on them.
In their last 5 games at New Orleans, NO have hit 100 points in 4 of these games, while LA have hit in the 90's in each of these 5 games, as all 5 games have gone over the posted total.

Chicago - Washington under 195.5
While Chicago have scored an average of 103 points at home, in their last 4 home games they have scored 94, 92, 94 and 98 for an average of 95 points which is what they have averaged in their last 5 games. Washington have allowed an average of 100 points on the road but only at Boston where they allowed 108 points and New Orleans where they allowed 97 points have they allowed more than 94 points which is what they have allowed in their last 5 games. Look to Chicago to hit about the 95 mark here.
Washington have scored an average of 91 points on the road and 84 points in their last 5 games as they have struggled to hit more than 90 points, where they have done so only twice in their last 10 games but not in their last 5 away games. Chicago have allowed 100 points at home and 103 points in its last 5 games but with the way that Washington has been scoring, it would be hard to see them scoring in the 100's here.
With 3 of the last 4 games at Chicago going under the posted total, it would be hard to see it not happening again here given their relative scoring of late.
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09 Jan 2009 
From blackcrow punter


Admin · 79 views · 2 comments
25 Dec 2008 
Orlando -5.5 @ 2.12 (pinnacle)
Orlando have won and covered nine of their last ten games. Howard and Nelson can take much of the credit on the offensive side as the Magic have hit 100 points in 4 of their last 5 games as they have averaged 104 points in those games. On defence, they have been solid and allowed the league's second highest scoring team (Golden State) to a season-low 31.9% shooting as they beat them 113-81.
New Orleans comes into this game with an energy sapping loss at home to the LA Lakers 100-87 (Orlando beat the Lakers at home 103-100 5 nights ago). Paul is left to do most of the lead up work and without the support that he needs to contain the Magic, they will have similar problems to what happened against the Lakers.

Phoenix - San Antonio over 207.5 @ 2.60 (bet 365) (now at 201)
Phoenix have hit 100 points in their last 7 games as well as allowing the opposition to hit 100 points in their last 16 games. They have averaged 112 points in their last 5 games on offence and with the addition of Richardson into their lineup, then they should continue to score and more. While the Spurs have allowed only an average of 91 points in their last 5 games, they will be hard pressed from the Suns not getting three figures here.
San Antonio have scored an average of 94 points in their last 5 games but in their last 3 they have hit 99, 101 and 107 and now face a Phoenix defence that has allowed an average of 111 points in their last 5 games.
Both teams should be able to hit at least 100 points here and some more, to send it over the posted total. Phoenix won earlier in the season 103-98 in the road to SA but both teams will add points scorers like Ginobili and Richardson who didn't play in that game.
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22 Dec 2008 
New Jersey - Houston over 204.5 (now 197.5)
New Jersey have averaged 103 points in their last 5 games while Houston have allowed 99 points in their last 5 games.
Houston have averaged 105 points in their last 5 games while New Jersey have allowed 101 points in their last 5 games.
Houston have hit 100 points in 4 of their last 5 games while NJ have allowed teams to hit 100 in 3 of their last 5. NJ themselves hit 100 points in 3 of their last 5 games.
Both teams have players sinking their shots lately so look to Harris for NJ and McGrady and Ming for Houston to lead the way in a high scoring game.

Memphis - LA Lakers under 198.5 (now 205.5)
Memphis have struggled to score in their last two games, putting up 84 and 83 points and now meet the Lakers who will be looking to play defence like they did against Miami where they allowed 89 points and not the 106 they allowed in their last game against Orlando.
LA will find it tougher to score on Memphis as they have been guilty of allowing teams like Charlotte to score easy points on them so look for their intensity to increase in this game, and get back to the 99 average they allow teams to score on them.
Both teams are on the road after this game with the Lakers possibly looking ahead to a tough game tomorrow night with New Orleans while Memphis have another tough opponent in Dallas, so they will look to sharpen up their defence with a good performance in this game.

San Antonio - Sacamento under 191.5 (now 197.5)
San Antonio will be disappointed in allowing Toronto 97 points, NO 90 points and Orlando also 90 points so look for them to lift their intensity. Sacramento have hit 90, 96 and 77 in their last 3 road games and now play one of the better defences in the league who allow an average of 94 points in the league but should allow less against a team that has struggled to score all year.
SA only scored 78 points against NO and 83 against Orlando, while they hit 107 on Toronto but Sacramento, without a game tomorrow night, will look to keep it close like they did at New Orleans where they went down 99-90 in one of the better defensive efforts of late. With the Spurs having another game tomorrow night, they may hold back here and cruise to victory without actually going for it, while they will probably step on defence just to get their organisation back

Source: Punter´s Lounge forum - tipster BLACKCROW
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